Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.045237 1.254267 1.516745 1.879539 2.383500 3.084999 4.188797
2026-01-11 0.758225 0.989505 1.321340 1.863195 2.799473 4.538995 8.703691
2026-01-18 0.601143 0.824295 1.171732 1.805538 3.092537 6.157066 17.814772
2026-01-25 0.517247 0.737109 1.102555 1.834976 3.561821 8.918710 49.039004
2026-02-01 0.464380 0.683671 1.069389 1.911601 4.213335 13.908940 293.538132
2026-02-08 0.415091 0.625146 1.009784 1.904761 4.656731 20.111750 119345.255735
2026-02-15 0.371496 0.568573 0.940040 1.846105 4.902747 27.237733 NaN
2026-02-22 0.347463 0.542794 0.924949 1.917373 5.733966 49.559685 NaN
2026-03-01 0.322268 0.510954 0.890335 1.923394 6.339624 87.407659 NaN
2026-03-08 0.296969 0.475592 0.841509 1.871488 6.630816 142.382506 NaN
2026-03-15 0.277234 0.448613 0.806586 1.850285 7.108294 294.624027 NaN
2026-03-22 0.269857 0.444852 0.823469 2.002077 9.059256 7452.066578 NaN
2026-03-29 0.258439 0.431961 0.817499 2.080564 10.842759 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.244117 0.411616 0.790155 2.072528 11.937689 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.228954 0.388071 0.751345 2.007328 12.327312 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.219384 0.375419 0.738396 2.042087 14.241473 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.212642 0.368106 0.738114 2.131807 17.691916 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.203147 0.353918 0.717351 2.123811 19.626646 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.192585 0.336555 0.685748 2.055186 20.075554 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.187510 0.330922 0.685713 2.138591 25.353271 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.180623 0.320652 0.671240 2.145648 28.990122 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.172473 0.306949 0.645347 2.084867 29.887857 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.165857 0.296313 0.627189 2.060073 32.525423 NaN NaN